Valuation + Options Snapshot
UPS
$99.30 · 52-week range $82.00 – $122.41 · as of 2026-09-10
Value
Expensive
Volatility setup
Fair
What the numbers show
- P/E 18.5× vs 5y median 15.9× — 16.0% above its own history.
- FCF yield 6.5% — modest.
- Dividend yield 6.61% — NOT covered by TTM FCF (1.0×).
- YoY growth — revenue -0.4%, EPS -19.9%, FCF +54.2%.
- ATM IV 26.5% vs trailing realized vol 29.4% — -3.0 vol points (roughly fair).
- Liquid chain — ATM-band put OI 47,775.
Current P/E
18.5×
5y median P/E
15.9×
vs 5y median
+16.0%
FCF yield
6.46%
Dividend yield
6.61%
Coverage (FCF / div)
1.0×
Revenue YoY
-0.4%
EPS YoY
-19.9%
FCF YoY
+54.2%
Shares Δ (8 quarters)
—
ATM implied vol
26.5%
Realized vol (1y)
29.4%
IV − RV
-3.0 pts
ATM-band put OI
47,775
Range position
17% above low
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This page is not a recommendation. It shows structural numbers and classification only. Whether UPS is a name worth owning — at any price or strike — is the analyst work the paid Value Options Letter does every week.