Valuation + Options Snapshot
TGT
$137.70 · 52-week range $83.44 – $144.40 · as of 2026-07-25
Value
Expensive
Volatility setup
Premium-rich
What the numbers show
- Current P/E: 18.2× (no 5y history available).
- FCF yield 4.8% — modest.
- Dividend yield 3.31% — covered by TTM FCF (1.5×).
- YoY growth — revenue +0.5%, EPS -16.8%, FCF -14.2%.
- Share count down 1.4% over 8 quarters — modest buyback.
- ATM IV 35.9% vs trailing realized vol 30.5% — +5.4 vol points premium (premium-rich for sellers).
- Liquid chain — ATM-band put OI 15,272.
- Within 4.9% of 52-week high — elevated relative to its 1-year range.
Current P/E
18.2×
5y median P/E
—
vs 5y median
—
FCF yield
4.85%
Dividend yield
3.31%
Coverage (FCF / div)
1.5×
Revenue YoY
+0.5%
EPS YoY
-16.8%
FCF YoY
-14.2%
Shares Δ (8 quarters)
-1.4%
ATM implied vol
35.9%
Realized vol (1y)
30.5%
IV − RV
+5.4 pts
ATM-band put OI
15,272
Range position
39% above low
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This page is not a recommendation. It shows structural numbers and classification only. Whether TGT is a name worth owning — at any price or strike — is the analyst work the paid Value Options Letter does every week.