Valuation + Options Snapshot
COP
$148.80 · 52-week range $85.57 – $152.77 · as of 2026-10-26
Value
Expensive
Volatility setup
Premium-rich
What the numbers show
- P/E 19.7× vs 5y median 12.7× — 54.5% above its own history.
- FCF yield 6.6% — modest.
- Dividend yield 2.22% — well covered by TTM FCF (3.0×).
- YoY growth — revenue +9.2%, EPS +1.3%, FCF +475.2%.
- Share count up 4.4% over 8 quarters — modest dilution.
- ATM IV 36.3% vs trailing realized vol 30.8% — +5.5 vol points premium (premium-rich for sellers).
- Moderate chain liquidity — ATM-band put OI 3,336.
- Within 2.7% of 52-week high — elevated relative to its 1-year range.
Current P/E
19.7×
5y median P/E
12.7×
vs 5y median
+54.5%
FCF yield
6.58%
Dividend yield
2.22%
Coverage (FCF / div)
3.0×
Revenue YoY
+9.2%
EPS YoY
+1.3%
FCF YoY
+475.2%
Shares Δ (8 quarters)
+4.4%
ATM implied vol
36.3%
Realized vol (1y)
30.8%
IV − RV
+5.5 pts
ATM-band put OI
3,336
Range position
43% above low
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This page is not a recommendation. It shows structural numbers and classification only. Whether COP is a name worth owning — at any price or strike — is the analyst work the paid Value Options Letter does every week.